On the one side, we have Democrats saying they're willing to compromise; on the other, we have Republicans insisting they will refuse to do so. We have Democrats, and President Obama, who still think that the most important thing is to govern effectively, and attempt to solve the huge problems the US faces (I'm not saying their "solutions" are brilliant, but at least they're trying). On the other side, we have Republican leader Mitch McConnell, proclaiming their number one goal: to insure Obama fails as President, that he does not win a second term. Does that sound like governing?
If the Republicans win control of the House and/or the Senate, we can look forward to political guerrilla war to be carried out in both chambers. The only support Obama will get from any Republican is for more war and war spending. Or for any policy they push, like extending tax cuts to the wealthy, that would weaken Obama's support among his base.
If Democrats pull out a narrow win, and maintain control of both chambers, they will still be facing a determined, intransigent, and hostile opposition in no mood for compromise, or for coming to terms with the constraints of governing. The Tea Party, and the corporations that back it, have already shown they can punish any compromiser. So, the US will join the ranks of ungovernable nations, in which the powers-that-be are paralyzed. No decisive action, maybe even no budget, may be possible.
Perhaps NATO should send an occupying force to stabilize the country--ah, the US controls NATO!
One chance for governance would be if there were a reduced Democratic majority--many of the "Blue Dogs" would be gone--that realized that compromise was not possible, only governing by strict majority rule would work. The blocking filibuster would have to be jettisoned in the Senate: it could be in its first session of the new Congress.
I confess to donating a little to progressive campaigns, and phone calling for our local Congressman, but I'm not sanguine, not with the 100's of millions spent on negative ads by anonymous corporations against almost all Democrats.
We are facing a Supreme Court-induced coup d'état by the extremely wealthy, a new gilded age in which the corporate wealthy will determine US policy, just as it did in the 1880's.
Unlike the 1880's, however, the US is not a surging new power, but an aging behemoth, with a dangerous military and a costly empire. Meanwhile, China, India, the EC and Brazil will feel free to take over economically, given US stalemate, or worse, control by global corporations wedded to a wasteful status quo.
This is a different scenario for the fall of American Empire! Elections 2010 could be decisive.
Friday, October 29, 2010
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